2012 NFL Mock Draft “POINT” Score

[jamfed]

This is a mock-draft GAME played by “PROFESSIONAL DRAFNIK” sports writers with their respected 2012 mock drafts, giving POINTS to where you projected players/team to PICK NUMBER and what number that player actually was drafted (with NO baring of trades). So we can TOTAL up any mock draft, based on these given points to grade your predictions.

Here is the LINK and the rules:

http://backupquarterbackblog.blogspo...r-king-is.html

Last Monday's post looked at 7 mock drafts published at the time. Most mock drafters change their picks as often as The Bachelorette, so the picks we saw three days before the draft only slightly resemble most of these drafters' "final" mock drafts. But we happened to capture them at a point in time, and it's that point in time that we'll use in grading them.

As a reminder, we used 7 mock drafters: ESPN's Mel Kiper, Jr. and Todd McShay, Peter King of Sports Illustrated and NBC Sports, Rob Rang of CBSSports.com, Evan Silva of ProFootballTalk.com, Charley Casserly of NFL Network, and some dude named Kash Money from MockingTheDraft.com. And we considered only the first 11 draft picks.

After the jump, our final rankings and where the mock drafters hit and missed. Also, you can see our ranking of how the teams drafted, 1 through 32, here.

First of all, there were so many trades this draft that we don't even consider teams swapping spots. For these purposes, we only care about whether the drafter got the correct player in a given spot or, if he didn't, whether his selection for that spot was close to where that player actually went.

A drafter got 10 points if his pick for a given slot was correct. If it wasn't, he got 9 points if that player went 1 spot before or after, 8 points if he went 2 spots before or after, etc., etc., with a floor of 0 points if the player went 10 or more spots before or after the given pick. For example, Rob Rang had Fletcher Cox going sixth overall. Cox went 12th, so since Rang was 6 picks off, his score for that pick is 10-6 = 4.

Backup Quarterback Blog Mock Draft Rankings (based on mock drafts on 4/23/2012)
1. Peter King, 95 points
2. Evan Silva, 89 points
3. Rob Rang, 83 points
4. Mel Kiper, Jr., 82 points
T-5. Todd McShay, 81 points
T-5. Charley Casserly, 81 points
7. KashMoney, 80 points

As we discussed last week, there was a lot of commonality in the picks. Everyone nailed Luck (1), RG3 (2), and Tannehill (8), and everyone was one spot off on each of Trent Richardson, Matt Kalil, and Morris Claiborne.

Each of King's remaining picks were within 3 spots of where the player actually went:
- Justin Blackmon (King picked him 6th, he went 5th)
- Stephon Gilmore (King picked him 7th, he went 10th)
- Fletcher Cox (King picked him 9th, he went 12th)
- Michael Floyd (King picked him 10th, he went 13th)
- Luke Kuechly, (King picked him 11th, he went 9th)

Only Silva was remotely close to King, with each of his picks within 7 spots of the actual pick.

Kiper, McShay, Casserly, KashMoney, and Rang tied for worst pick of the mock drafts; the first 4 each had Riley Reiff going 10th to the Bills (Reiff went 23rd to the Lions), and Rang had David DeCastro going 11th to the Chiefs (DeCastro went 24th to the Steelers).

Using their “rules” my score was 130! 35 points higher than Peter King (not that he’s extra NFL Draft Savvy. So, I’m feeling pretty good about myself (which could have been 10 points HIGHER if I didn’t change my mind at the last second and move Tannehill later in the mock)…

[jamfed]

Did anyone add up their score? or is this thread next to DEAD?

[ShockTreatment]

Originally Posted by jamfed

Did anyone add up their score? or is this thread next to DEAD?

This just seems a little silly to me.

1. I'm more interested in what you have to say about a player as opposed to where you think he will be selected. There are plenty of people on the CMB who have no clue how to evaluate players, but might look at Mick Mayock's draft board and get the pick "right".

For example: guys like Greg Cossell have far more interesting things to say about players (by about 100 fold) than Charley Casserly. Yet Greg may have received lower points because he had some unconventional picks in the 1st.

2. It looks like this only works if you do a 1st round all team mock. Not very many people on here have done that.

[jamfed]

Originally Posted by ShockTreatment

This just seems a little silly to me.

1. I'm more interested in what you have to say about a player as opposed to where you think he will be selected. There are plenty of people on the CMB who have no clue how to evaluate players, but might look at Mick Mayock's draft board and get the pick "right".

For example: guys like Greg Cossell have far more interesting things to say about players (by about 100 fold) than Charley Casserly. Yet Greg may have received lower points because he had some unconventional picks in the 1st.

2. It looks like this only works if you do a 1st round all team mock. Not very many people on here have done that.

AH HA... gotcha...
I based my mock draft on my own personal insight/experiance, the way I intreprete prospect tape, as well as TEAM NEED.
Those other guys you mention specialize their mocks their own way too...

There were SO many trades in the 1st round it was crazy. But I still guessed pretty well, (based on a point score system as above).

[ShockTreatment]

Originally Posted by jamfed

AH HA... gotcha...
I based my mock draft on my own personal insight/experiance, the way I intreprete prospect tape, as well as TEAM NEED.
Those other guys you mention specialize their mocks their own way too...

There were SO many trades in the 1st round it was crazy. But I still guessed pretty well, (based on a point score system as above).

Not that it means much, but I'm pretty sure you scored your mock draft wrong.

1. Melvin Ingram gives you 9 points despite being taken 11 spots later?

2. Cordy Glenn gives you 2 points despite not being taken in the 1st at all?

3. Upshaw gives you 6 points despite going in the 2nd round?

4. Barron gives you a point despite going 12 picks earlier?

Also, I wouldn't give anybody any points for getting the first 2 picks right. Those were no-brainers.

[jamfed]

Originally Posted by ShockTreatment

Not that it means much, but I'm pretty sure you scored your mock draft wrong.

1. Melvin Ingram gives you 9 points despite being taken 11 spots later?

2. Cordy Glenn gives you 2 points despite not being taken in the 1st at all?

3. Upshaw gives you 6 points despite going in the 2nd round?

4. Barron gives you a point despite going 12 picks earlier?

Also, I wouldn't give anybody any points for getting the first 2 picks right. Those were no-brainers.

Wow... I better relook... I found a bunch of errors in my point system. MY BAD!

[jamfed]

Originally Posted by ShockTreatment

Not that it means much, but I'm pretty sure you scored your mock draft wrong.

1. Melvin Ingram gives you 9 points despite being taken 11 spots later?

2. Cordy Glenn gives you 2 points despite not being taken in the 1st at all?

3. Upshaw gives you 6 points despite going in the 2nd round?

4. Barron gives you a point despite going 12 picks earlier?

Also, I wouldn't give anybody any points for getting the first 2 picks right. Those were no-brainers.

I think I fixed it... I had some unexplained errors in my points. Not sure why, so I rescored it, and I had MORE points.

ROUND 1 MOCK / ROUND 1 ACTUAL / My Points

1 Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford Colts Andrew Luck QB 10
2 Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor Redskins Robert Griffin III QB 10
3 Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama Browns Trent Richardson RB 10
4 Matt Kalil, OT, USC Vikings Matt Kalil OT 10
5 Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU Jaguars Justin Blackmon WR 9
6 Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma St. Cowboys Morris Claiborne CB 9
7 Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina Buccaneers Mark Barron SS 7
8 Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi St. Dolphins Ryan Tannehill QB 6
9 Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina Panthers Luke Kuechly ILB 1
10 Luke Kuechly, LB, Boston College Bills Stephon Gilmore CB 9
11 Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa Chiefs Dontari Poe DT 0
12 Quentin Coples, DE, North Carolina Eagles Fletcher Cox DT 6
13 Cordy Glenn, OL, Georgia Cardinals Michael Floyd WR 2
14 Michael Brockers, DT, LSU Rams Michael Brockers DT 10
15 Jerel Worthy, DT, Michigan St. Seahawks Bruce Irvin DE 0
16 Courtney Upshaw, DE/LB, Alabama Jets Quinton Coples DE 0
17 David DeCastro, OG, Stanford Bengals Dre Kirkpatrick CB 3
18 Mark Barron, S, Alabama Chargers Melvin Ingram DE 0
19 Chandler Jones, DE, Syracuse Bears Shea McClellin DE 2
20 Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama Titans Kendall Wright WR 7
21 Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame Patriots Chandler Jones DE 2
22 Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas AM Browns Brandon Weeden QB 0
23 Whitney Mercilus, DE, Illinois Lions Riley Reiff OT 7
24 Dontari Poe, NT, Memphis Steelers David DeCastro G 0
25 Devon Still, DT, Penn St. Patriots Dont'a Hightower ILB 0
26 Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor Texans Whitney Mercilus DE 6
27 Shea Mcclellin, OLB, Boise State Bengals Kevin Zeitler G 2
28 Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford Packers Nick Perry DE 0
29 Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin Vikings Harrison Smith FS 0
30 Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech 49ers A.J. Jenkins WR 0
31 Harrison Smith, SS, Notre Dame Buccaneers Doug Martin RB 8
32 Coby Fleener, TE, Stanford Giants David Wilson RB 0
TOTAL 136

[Kemp17]

So in your mock draft you predicted that Cleveland and Minnesota would flip flop before they drafted Richardson and Kalil respectively?

I think you have your answer for why this thread was dead in the water from the beginning.

[jamfed]

Originally Posted by Kemp17

So in your mock draft you predicted that Cleveland and Minnesota would flip flop before they drafted Richardson and Kalil respectively?

I think you have your answer for why this thread was dead in the water from the beginning.

LOL - I see what you're saying...
If you recall, that CLE/MIN trade was completed before the draft started. So I adjusted my mock draft accordingly BEFORE THE DRAFT STARTED.
Once Cleveland made that trade, I mocked Richardson to CLE... YES.

[JammerHammer23]

How could you possibly get any points for Floyd? Or Zeitler?